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Turdle Racing

Turdle Racing can not only be fun, it can be PROFITABLE!
At the present time, I am doing a statistical analysis of which is the BEST turdle to bet on (if not fed). If you would like to participate, please neomail me, i_deal, with the results of your 3 races.
Stinky: Turdle One
Stinky is fastest turdle this side of Tyrannia. If you think he is losing, think again, as Stinky is reknowned for unexpected last-second victories!
Odds 3:1.
Poopy: Turdle Two
Poopy is a cunning little turdle, employing every trick in the book to make sure he comes in first.
Odds 4:1.
Smelly: Turdle Three
Smelly's unique advantage is that other turdles keep well away from him, mainly due to the fact he never washes!
Odds 5:1.
Squelchy: Turdle Four
Squelchy sometimes sticks to the floor... so if you see him not moving for a while, he probably needs a little shove.
Odds 7:1.
Nutty: Turdle Five
This crazy turdle will do anything he can to run straight for the finish line, but beware - expending lots of energy makes him prone to randomly falling asleep.
Odds 9:1.
Turdle Racing Results (Without food):

  • 1, 2, 5
  • 3, 5, 2
  • 4, 5, 3
  • 1, 3, 1
  • 2, 3, 1
  • 5, 2, 5
  • 2, 1, 3
  • 2, 3, 3
  • 1, 2, 4
  • 2, 1, 1
  • 5, 2, 5
  • 1, 2, 1
  • 2, 3, 3
  • 1, 4, 2
  • 3, 3, 2
  • 2, 2, 3
  • 4, 1, 3
  • 2, 5, 2
  • 1, 1, 2
  • 1, 3, 3
  • 1, 1, 4
  • 4, 5, 3
  • 3, 3, 3
  • 3, 1, 4
  • 3, 5, 3
  • 3, 5, 2
  • 1, 1, 2
  • 2, 1, 1
  • 1, 4, 5
  • 1, 3, 1
  • 1, 1, 3
  • 1, 1, 2
  • 1, 1, 1
  • 5, 4, 4
  • 1, 2, 3
  • 2, 2, 1
  • 2, 1, 1
  • 3, 4, 1
  • 4, 1, 1
  • 3, 1, 2
  • 2, 1, 2
  • 4, 2, 1
  • 3, 5, 4
  • 4, 4, 3
  • 3, 2, 1
  • 3, 3, 1
  • 1, 4, 1
  • 1, 1, 2
  • 1, 4, 2
  • 3, 3, 1
Total $ out: $150.00 ($1 per bet)
Turdle #Total Wins$ inProfit
150$150$0
233$132-$18
335$175$25
418$126-$24
514$126-$24
Best turdle to bet on according to the above odds: Turdle 3!! Notice that if you bet on #3, you are likely to win about 23% of the time, so you make about 17% profit!

Now with food:

The bet I made was always on Turdle 3 since he seems to have the best odds.
  • 3, 1, 2 (Jellied Eggs)
  • 2, 3, 1
  • 3, 1, 4
  • 2, 4, 4
  • 3, 3, 3
  • 1, 2, 1
  • 2, 4, 3
  • 2, 3, 3
  • 3, 1, 1
  • 4, 4, 4
  • 1, 4, 3
  • 1, 2, 2
  • 4, 4, 1
  • 1, 5, 3
  • 5, 1, 2
  • 1, 3, 2
  • 2, 2, 3
  • 2, 1, 1
  • 1, 1, 3
  • 2, 2, 3
  • 1, 2, 3
  • 3, 1, 1
  • 2, 4, 1
  • 2, 3, 2
  • 4, 2, 2
  • 4, 2, 2
  • 2, 4, 5
  • 2, 2, 3
  • 1, 3, 3
  • 3, 2, 3
  • 2, 3, 1
  • 1, 3, 2
  • 4, 3, 2
  • 2, 2, 5
  • 3, 5, 3
  • ??(all turtles stopped), 5, 5
  • 1, 1, 4
  • 3, 5, 3
  • 3, 1, 3
  • ??(all turtles stopped), 3, 1
  • 1, 2, 4
  • 1, 2, 3
  • 2, 1, 2
  • 1, 1, 2
  • 2, 5, 5
  • 5, 5, 1
  • 3, 2, 3
  • 1, 1, 2
  • 3, 1, 3
  • 1, 4, 3
Total $ out: $150.00 ($1 per bet)
Turdle #Total Wins$ inProfit
140$114-$36
240$160$10
340$200$50
418$126-$24
513$117-$33
Best turdle to bet on according to the above odds: Turdle 3!! Notice that if you bet on #3, you are likely to win about 26% of the time, so you make about 33% profit!

This is quite a significant difference!

Does the food matter?

The next test will be for different types of food. So that I don't have to wait for 2 months before concluding my results, I'll do tests of only 1 week.

Spooky Shake

  • 2, 4, 4
  • 3, 3, ?? (not 3)
  • 1, 1, 4
  • 1, 2, 4
  • 4, 2, 1
  • 3, 4, 4
  • 3, 4, 1
Results: $-21 plus $20=$-1 total

Chocolate Faerie Cake

  • 1, 1, 2
  • 2, 3, 2
  • 1, 2, 1
  • 3, 3, 4
  • 4, 3, ?? (not 3)
  • 1, 2, 4
  • 3, 4, 1
Results: $-21 plus 25=$4 total

Neoflakes Cake

  • 4, 2, 3
  • 4, 2, 4
  • 2, 2, 1
  • 4, 1, 2
  • 4, 3, 1
  • 1, 1, 3
  • 5, 2, 1
Results: $-21 plus $15=-$6

Musho Mushy Peas

  • 5, 1, 3
  • 2, 4, 2
  • 1, 2, 2
  • 3, 1, 2
  • 5, 3, 4
  • 4, 2, 2
  • 1, 1, 5
Results: $-21 plus $15=-$6

Crunchy Skullberry

  • 5, 5, 1
  • 4, 1, 2
  • 1, 2, 2
  • 1, 2, 3
  • 1, 1, 1
  • 3, 3, 3
  • 3, 2, 2
Results: $-21 plus $25=$4

Lesser Spotted Fish

  • 4, 4, 1
  • 5, 1, 2
  • 1, 3, 4
  • 1, 4, 2
  • 2, 3, 1
  • 1, 3, 1
  • 2, 4, 3
Results: $-21 plus $20=-$1

Box of Wheat Flakes

  • 1, 3, 3
  • 1, 3, 1
  • 2, 3, 3
  • 5, 2, 1
  • 2, 1, 4
  • 2, 3, 4
  • 2, 5, 5
Results: -$21 + $30 = $9. (WOW!!) Notice that in this case, turdle 3 won 6/21 which is almost 1/3 of the time!!

After all food results put together:

-$147 + $150 = $3. If the results were not dependant upon the food, then we would expect our results to be the same as for Jellied Eggs. Since there is a significant difference, one can only claim that certain foods (Box of Wheat Flakes and Jellied Eggs) work better than other foods.

Further study of Box of Wheat Flakes

  • 2, 1, 3
  • 4, 3, 2
  • 2, 4, 1
  • 3, 5, 2
  • 3, 2, 3
  • 2, 2, 2
  • 4, 2, 2
  • 5, 3, 2
  • 3, 1, 1
  • 1, 1, 2
  • 3, 2, 1
  • 3, 5, 1
  • 3, 2, 3
  • 3, 1, 1
  • 2, 1, 2
  • 1, 2, 1
  • 4, 2, 1
  • 3, 3, 4
  • 1, 2, 5
  • 4, 3, 3
  • 3, 3, 4
  • 4, 1, 1
  • 3, 3, 3
  • 4, 1, 2
  • 4, 4, 5
  • 4, 1, 2
  • 5, 5, 1
  • 4, 2, 5
  • 2, 1, 3
  • 1, 1, 3
  • 1, 4, 4
  • 3, 2, 1
  • 2, 2, 3
  • 3, 3, 5
  • 4, 4, 4
  • 4, 1, 4
  • 3, 1, 3
  • 1, 4, 1
  • 3, 5, 2
  • 1, 1, 1
  • 2, 4, 1
  • 1, 4, 2
  • 2, 2, 3
  • 5, 1, 3
  • 2, 2, 5
  • 2, 1, 3
  • 3, 1, 1
  • 2, 3, 3
  • 1, 3, 4
  • 1, 2, 1
  • 4, 5, 3
Total spent: $-150 plus total won: $185= $35.
This yields a result closer to 25%.

The next test will be on the turdle (as in, is it better to put NP on turdle 4, and does the type of food change per turdle?)

Turdle 5

Is it better to bet on Turdle 5? (Jellied Eggs Trial)
  • 3, 2, 2
  • 1, 3, 2
  • 5, 2, 2
  • 5, 4, 3
  • 4, 2, 1
  • 5, 2, 3
  • 2, 3, 1
  • 2, 1, 4
  • 1, 3, 2
  • 4, 1, 4
Total Spent: $30 plus total won: $27 = $-3

Turdle 5

Is it better to bet on Turdle 4? (Jellied Eggs Trial)
  • 2, 2, 5
  • 3, 1, 4
  • 1, 1, 2
  • 3, 1, 3
  • 1, 3, 2
  • 1, 2, 3
  • 1, 4, 2
  • 2, 2, 1
  • 1, 1, 2
  • 3, 2, 5
Total Spent: $30 plus total won: $14 = $-16
From this, I conclude that the choice of food is turdle dependent!



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