Christie's Food Club Bets

Welcome to my Food Club page! Feel free to look at or use my bets, or click any of the links to explore guides, statistics,
and other players' bets. I've been playing Food Club for a few years now and I've made a lot of profit. In general, I don't
make as much daily profit as some others, but I do win on a pretty consistent basis, aside from the occasional
losing streak--and we all have those, right? If you need any help or assistance, feel free to neomail me, or check out the
games section of the Neoboards and chat with us there. Happy Betting!

Round 5479--April 16, 2014
Risk Factor: Medium

Explanation
A decent day to bet. Hoping for 3 hits or one safety.
Strengths
Safetied potential upsets in Scurvy's and Goobs' arenas. Complete coverage of 2:1s
Weaknesses
Lower profit potential than we might have--3 hits will get us 24:1 at most, while a safety will give us 26:1 at most. Still pretty good for a day like this though.

Important Notes

DST Round Info (Mid-March to Mid-October): During DST hours, each round happens at 2pm NST. The gates will close at 1:45 pm and reopen at 2:15 pm, so make sure your bets are in before 1:45!
Non-DST Round Info (Mid-October to Mid-March): When we are NOT on DST, each round happens at 1:00 pm NST. Make your bets before this time. The gates will close again from 1:45 pm-2:15 pm NST due to the glitch. DO NOT MAKE ANY BETS from 1:00 pm-2:15 pm or they will be messed up or even lost as the game transitions into the next round.
Holding: In order to win a trophy in Food Club, you need to hold your winnings and collect them all at once. You can hold for a maximum of 8 rounds, but you MUST COLLECT after the 8th round but before midnight NST or else the winnings from the first day of your hold will be lost.
Copying Bets: Feel free to copy any of the bets linked here. We post them to share and help others. However, keep in mind that everyone uses different strategies, and there is no guarantee you will win with any set of bets. Upsets are always a possibility. In addition, if you choose to copy bets, it is best to copy all 10 as they are set up in such a way as to cover as many possibilities as possible; not using all 10 could leave you vulnerable to loss.
Odds Changes: The odds for any given pirate can fluctuate throughout the day. Sometimes you can predict them, and other times not. The odds listed on my page are the odds of the pirates at the time I made my bets, so it's best to check if they have changed if you choose to copy them, just in case you want to make any changes.

Current Bets
Round Bet Info Amount Odds Winnings
5479 Shipwreck: The Tailhook Kid
Treasure Island: Scurvy Dan the Blade
Hidden Cove: Gooblah the Grarrl
NP 8:1 NP
5479 Treasure Island: Scurvy Dan the Blade
Hidden Cove: Franchisco Corvallio
NP 26:1 NP
5479 Treasure Island: Scurvy Dan the Blade
Hidden Cove: Gooblah the Grarrl
Harpoon Harry's: Buck Cutlass
NP 8:1 NP
5479 Treasure Island: Scurvy Dan the Blade
Hidden Cove: Gooblah the Grarrl
Harpoon Harry's: Federismo Corvallio
NP 8:1 NP
5479 Treasure Island: Scurvy Dan the Blade
Hidden Cove: Ol' Stripey
NP 26:1 NP
5479 Lagoon: Bonnie Pip Culliford
Treasure Island: Scurvy Dan the Blade
Hidden Cove: Gooblah the Grarrl
NP 8:1 NP
5479 Lagoon: Lucky McKyriggan
Treasure Island: Scurvy Dan the Blade
Hidden Cove: Gooblah the Grarrl
NP 8:1 NP
5479 Lagoon: Admiral Blackbeard
Treasure Island: Scurvy Dan the Blade
Hidden Cove: Gooblah the Grarrl
NP 8:1 NP
5479 Shipwreck: Sir Edmund Ogletree
Treasure Island: Scurvy Dan the Blade
Hidden Cove: Gooblah the Grarrl
NP 8:1 NP
5479 Treasure Island: Captain Crossblades
Hidden Cove: Gooblah the Grarrl
NP 26:1 NP
Total Possible Winnings NP

Last Round Winnings: 0:1
Guides and Links

Other Food Club Bets


Betting Strategy

Generally I tend to bet on the safe side. I prefer to make a consistent daily profit of small wins in the 12-32:1 range than get a big bonanza of 70:1+ once in a while. That being said, there are times when I will bet risky or put everything on one pirate. Usually when I do the latter, this course in itself is a safe-ish one.

My betting strategy changes from day to day depending on the odds; however, my main goal is always to cover as many possibilities as possible. This means safeties on pirates with middling odds or pirates who are at 13:1 but started out in the 10-12:1 range. This means that if the 2:1s win, we won't necessarily make a lot of profit, but if there is an upset by a middling or high-odd pirate, we can make win some high quality NP. One thing I very rarely do is bet the double upset though, as I usually would have to sacrifice some safeties to do so.

My system takes Food Adjustment (FA) and win streaks into account, and sometimes strength if I'm torn between two pirates. I tend to bet more heavily on pirates with +4 or higher FAs. Certain pirates, such as Ol' Stripey, tend to do well when their FA's are +3 or higher, while pirates like Buck Cutlass and Ned the Skipper have an interesting habit of winning at negative FAs. Whenever you take an FA into consideration, think about the FAs of that pirate's competitors as well.

There are times when I will bet heavily on a pirate who desperately needs a win, especially when he is at higher odds. Usually these pirates are on the weaker end of the spectrum and will go a few weeks between wins. When a pirate's loss streak is up at a month or more, I start safetying them or even betting heavily on them on a daily basis, regardless of their odds. This has led to some losses in the past, but if they pull an upset and their odds are high, you can get some very sweet profit indeed!
I do the same with pirates from the stronger end of the spectrum, but after a much shorter amount of time since they generally win more than they lose.
It works the other way too--pirates who are on insane win streaks need a loss sometime, so it's often a good time to bet on the higher-odd pirates in their arena.


So how do I make my bets? It's like this:

  • First I look at all the arenas, FAs and streaks, and choose the pirate I think is most likely to win in each arena (These pirates form my Gambit bets for the competition we have on the Neoboards).
  • Then I decide how to bet--safe, medium, or risky. I will bet in any arenas with one 2:1 pirate and 3 pirates at 5:1 or over because you can use up fewer bets for safeties and profit-boosting combos. I choose arenas with more pirates at 13:1 because I don't cover them unless I suspect they will pull an upset (ie their starting odds were under 13:1 or they need a win or have a high FA.) If an arena has no 13:1s I generally skip it, unless a high-odd pirate has a good chance of winning for the reasons above.
  • The exception to the rule above is if an arena has no 2:1s in it. I like to use these arenas because I can make 3-way bets that are already at 12:1--normally, 3-way bets with only 2:1s require an extra 4:1 bet on 2 of those pirates to ensure you make over 10:1, and this kind of arena eliminates the need for that bet and frees it up for something else.
  • Sometimes if a round has really crummy odds, I'll go risky and wild because the most I'll make is 12-16:1 if I go safe. I also tend to bet riskier if I am at the start of a hold because there's no risk to a high-score attempt if I lose.
  • I like to start with 4- or even 5-arena bets if the odds are decent and narrow it down, covering the pirates in the arena I think is most likely for an upset. Then I drop that arena from the remaining bets and repeat the process for the other arenas, making 3- and 2-way bets to cover the more remote safeties.
  • If I have extra bets available, I like to either bet my Gambit picks, boost a lower-profit bet by betting on the same pirates minus one (as you cannot have the same bet twice), or else boost a risky or large-profit bet that has some good potential.
  • Sometimes you have to sacrifice bets to fit others in. I will generally sacrifice a safety on a weaker 13:1, although I have been known to sacrifice some bets on the 2:1s at times in order to safety a high-odd pirate who I suspect could pull an upset. You have to think about what you could lose and what you stand to gain.



Previous Winnings
Collect Winnings
Round Bet Info Amount Odds Winnings
5467 Shipwreck: Franchisco Corvallio
Hidden Cove: Gooblah the Grarrl
Harpoon Harry's: Peg Leg Percival
NP 24:1 NP
5468 Lagoon: Lucky McKyriggan
Treasure Island: Gooblah the Grarrl
Hidden Cove: Buck Cutlass
NP 24:1 NP
5469 Hidden Cove: Lucky McKyriggan
Harpoon Harry's: Fairfax the Deckhand
NP 4:1 NP
5469 Treasure Island: Federismo Corvallio
Harpoon Harry's: Fairfax the Deckhand
NP 4:1 NP
5469 Shipwreck: Gooblah the Grarrl
Harpoon Harry's: Fairfax the Deckhand
NP 4:1 NP
5470 Shipwreck: Franchisco Corvallio
Lagoon: Gooblah the Grarrl
Treasure Island: Federismo Corvallio
Harpoon Harry's: The Tailhook Kid
NP 16:1 NP
Total Winnings NP
Collect Winnings
Round Bet Info Amount Odds Winnings
5462 Lagoon: Peg Leg Percival
Treasure Island: Bonnie Pip Culliford
NP 22:1 NP
5463 Lagoon: Puffo the Waister
Harpoon Harry's: Gooblah the Grarrl
NP 14:1 NP
5466 Lagoon: Admiral Blackbeard
Treasure Island: Scurvy Dan the Blade
NP 12:1 NP
Total Winnings NP
Collect Winnings
Round Bet Info Amount Odds Winnings
5453 Treasure Island: Puffo the Waister
Hidden Cove: Gooblah the Grarrl
NP 10:1 NP
5454 Shipwreck: Franchisco Corvallio
Lagoon: Gooblah the Grarrl
Treasure Island: The Tailhook Kid
NP 36:1 NP
5455 Treasure Island: Ol' Stripey
Hidden Cove: Scurvy Dan the Blade
Harpoon Harry's: Franchisco Corvallio
NP 28:1 NP
5457 Lagoon: Federismo Corvallio
Treasure Island: Sir Edmund Ogletree
Harpoon Harry's: Gooblah the Grarrl
NP 16:1 NP
Total Winnings NP
Collect Winnings
Round Bet Info Amount Odds Winnings
5444 Shipwreck: Scurvy Dan the Blade
Harpoon Harry's: Gooblah the Grarrl
NP 4:1 NP
5444 Hidden Cove: The Tailhook Kid
Harpoon Harry's: Gooblah the Grarrl
NP 4:1 NP
5444 Treasure Island: Franchisco Corvallio
Harpoon Harry's: Gooblah the Grarrl
NP 4:1 NP
5445 Shipwreck: Lucky McKyriggan
Lagoon: Scurvy Dan the Blade
Hidden Cove: Buck Cutlass
Harpoon Harry's: Gooblah the Grarrl
NP 16:1 NP
5446 Lagoon: Sir Edmund Ogletree
Treasure Island: Gooblah the Grarrl
Hidden Cove: Young Sproggie
NP 8:1 NP
5446 Lagoon: Sir Edmund Ogletree
Treasure Island: Gooblah the Grarrl
Harpoon Harry's: Scurvy Dan the Blade
NP 8:1 NP
5446 Shipwreck: Lucky McKyriggan
Lagoon: Sir Edmund Ogletree
Treasure Island: Gooblah the Grarrl
NP 8:1 NP
5447 Lagoon: Gooblah the Grarrl
Treasure Island: Franchisco Corvallio
Harpoon Harry's: Buck Cutlass
NP 8:1 NP
5447 Lagoon: Gooblah the Grarrl
Treasure Island: Franchisco Corvallio
Hidden Cove: Sir Edmund Ogletree
NP 20:1 NP
5449 Shipwreck: Orvinn the First Mate
Hidden Cove: Franchisco Corvallio
Harpoon Harry's: Gooblah the Grarrl
NP 24:1 NP
5450 Lagoon: Scurvy Dan the Blade
Hidden Cove: Bonnie Pip Culliford
Harpoon Harry's: Stuff-A-Roo
NP 20:1 NP
Total Winnings NP



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