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FOOD CLUB BETTING
Garet's Food Club Bets.
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Bets are usually placed between 1:30am and 2:30am NST to account for changes in odds as well as to get the additional 2np/bet in for placing them after midnight.
Later in the month, during "Trophy Run" you may see two different Bet tables. This is because, for high score purposes, ANY return helps your score. Therefore, I'll make bets that I expect to lose neopoints on but that should yield some return in order to boost your score. For example, a return of 6:10, while losing nps in terms of profit/loss, would add 44,000 to the score of someone with a 10 year old account if they bet the maximum.
My general approach:
Lifetime ROI* (Return on Investment) = 1.84 as of December 1st, 2014 |
Food Club betting for Fri Apr 1st
Due to an ongoing situation in meatspace, I may or may not get bets up at all and will not have time to do recap, notes, odds changes, etc. It will JUST be bets for the foreseeable future.
I'll try to at least get the Day/Date changed, but not even sure that will happen. Hopefully I'll get the page back to normal relatively soon, but there are no guarantees.
I've saved the format for if/when I'm able to resume the old page. Take care and have fun, all.
LINK TO THE FOOD CLUB BET PAGE
36:10 yesterday.
Yay for well-paying safeties...sorta.
While the 36:10 was awfully nice and nothing to sneeze at, with how the arenas played out I was patting myself on the back for playing Island instead of Lagoon since had Buck done his part it could have been a 56:10 day. Ah well, shouldn't even give the appearance of complaining with the result I got.
Blah.
Today is bad, both in terms of the lone positive as well as the layout of the four negative arenas.
Three of the negatives have two 2:1s in them, which is flat-out terrible for basically any kind of pattern.
The standard vanilla addition set would be a 10-bet of Ned (yuck) and, I guess, pair him with non-13:1s in Shipwreck and Cove and then flip a coin between Lagoon and Harry's. I guess I'd use Harry's since there's a slightly better chance for a non-2:1 winner there.
I think the potential payouts would make that a profitable proposition long-term, but not by terribly much at all.
Officially, I think I'll still call it a Skip Day
| Current Bets | ||||
| Round | Bet Info | Amount | Odds | Winnings |
| You do not have any bets placed for this round! | ||||
One set, I guess, would be that vanilla addition set I mentioned earlier:
Ned+Gooblah
Ned+Franchisco
Ned+Tailhook
Ned+Federismo
Ned+Buck
Ned+Blackbeard
Ned+Venable
Ned+Sproggie
Ned+Fairfax
Ned+Puffo
It's nearly 40% to bust but there is a high enough probability to get over 16:10 in order to technically make it worth betting.
Blah, actually I think I'll bet it after all. I'm still unsure whether or not I recommend it, but I'm going to go ahead and bet it for myself. =/
| Current Bets | ||||
| Round | Bet Info | Amount | Odds | Winnings |
| 6174 | Shipwreck: Gooblah the Grarrl Treasure Island: Ned the Skipper | 10694 NP | 6:1 | 64164 NP |
| 6174 | Treasure Island: Ned the Skipper Harpoon Harry's: Young Sproggie | 10694 NP | 4:1 | 42776 NP |
| 6174 | Treasure Island: Ned the Skipper Harpoon Harry's: Fairfax the Deckhand | 10694 NP | 4:1 | 42776 NP |
| 6174 | Treasure Island: Ned the Skipper Harpoon Harry's: Squire Venable | 10694 NP | 18:1 | 192492 NP |
| 6174 | Treasure Island: Ned the Skipper Hidden Cove: Buck Cutlass | 10694 NP | 4:1 | 42776 NP |
| 6174 | Treasure Island: Ned the Skipper Hidden Cove: Admiral Blackbeard | 10694 NP | 12:1 | 128328 NP |
| 6174 | Treasure Island: Ned the Skipper Hidden Cove: Federismo Corvallio | 10694 NP | 4:1 | 42776 NP |
| 6174 | Shipwreck: The Tailhook Kid Treasure Island: Ned the Skipper | 10694 NP | 4:1 | 42776 NP |
| 6174 | Shipwreck: Franchisco Corvallio Treasure Island: Ned the Skipper | 10694 NP | 10:1 | 106940 NP |
| 6174 | Treasure Island: Ned the Skipper Harpoon Harry's: Puffo the Waister | 10694 NP | 14:1 | 149716 NP |
| Total Possible Winnings | 855520 NP | |||
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Upon request, I made a form of a link back button:
If you want to use this image:
just copy and paste the following:

...and if you want to use Lucy's image:
this is the one to use:
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Monthly Summary of Advised Bets (calculated from the 2nd through the 1st) | |||
| Month | Bet Ratio | ROI | Profit/Loss At My Acct Age |
| Feb 2013 | 528:260 | 2.03 | +2251416 NP |
| Mar 2013 | 523:270 | 1.94 | +2145498 NP |
| Apr 2013 | 438:260 | 1.68 | +1517176 NP |
| May 2013 | 411:230 | 1.79 | +1553210 NP |
| Jun 2013 | 626:240 | 2.61 | +3338184 NP |
| July 2013 | 578:270 | 2.14 | +2682352 NP |
| Aug 2013 | 408:220* | 1.85 | +1648828 NP |
| Sep 2013 | 636:280 | 2.27 | +3148156 NP |
| Oct 2013 | 470:280 | 1.68 | +1690136 NP |
| Nov 2013 | 452:280 | 1.61 | +1543508 NP |
| Dec 2013 | 564:290 | 1.94 | +2472892 NP |
| Jan 2014 | 526:260 | 2.02 | +2415544 NP |
| Feb 2014 | 496:230 | 2.16 | +2431564 NP |
| Mar 2014 | 582:260 | 2.24 | +2959968 NP |
| Apr 2014 | 404:250 | 1.62 | +1427712 NP |
| May 2014 | 544:270 | 2.01 | +2554568 NP |
| Jun 2014 | 720:280 | 2.57 | +4127532 NP |
| Jul 2014 | 380:190** | 2.00 | +1793464 NP |
| Aug 2014 | 526:260 | 2.02 | +2530708 NP |
| Sep 2014 | 558:180*** | 3.10 | +3615840 NP |
| Oct 2014 | 354:180**** | 1.97 | +1677176 NP |
| Nov 2014 | 364:270 | 1.35 | +910008 NP |
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Earning A Trophy:


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Trophies are usually awarded at 11:50 NST during Daylight Savings Time but I think that due to it being Standard time right now, they are being awarded at 10:50 NST instead. Your score in Food Club is the amount of winnings you collect at one time. You can hold 8 consecutive rounds worth. So if you start holding on Round 5000, then you'll have to collect after the results for Round 5007 and before 10:50/11:50pm NST in order to get it posted for that day's trophy awarding. Also, if you wait until after midnight NST, your winnings on Round 5000 will disappear completely. That may not be a bad thing. If you only won a minimal amount (or nothing) on Round 5000 and Round 5008 looks promising, you could intentionally give up Round 5000 earnings in order to try to move up. While I often reference Trophy Run, it is not the sole means of acquiring a trophy, it's just generally the easiest time since that's when the scores are reset. You'll see me talking about Holds, that is what you do when trying for a trophy: you Hold your winnings rather than collecting them. Outside of Trophy Run, I generally recommend starting a Hold when you get a good return, say 40:10 or better, and see how the next few days go. If there is a tank or low return, go on and collect and hope for another Hold later. Keep in mind, also, that you don't have to wait for all 8 rounds before collecting. Let's say you've got 7 rounds worth being held, you're on at 10:45pm NST, and see that if you collect you'd get a trophy (or trophy upgrade), why not go ahead and do it? You could worry about upgrading later and it saves you from the chance of others getting a better return on that 8th day and knocking you out of that spot. When going for a trophy on the usual Trophy Run, keep in mind that account age plays a huge factor in determining your success, especially if you are following a bet page. Consider: if 50 people are all using the exact same bets and those bets happen to have the best return, then unless your account is older than 17 of the ones that are holding for the trophy, you won't score enough to make trophy level. This is a perfect example of what I mean when I say even a 6:10 day, to a 10 year old account, can make a difference. Notice that the additional 44k a 6:10 would give was the difference in both Bronze and Silver and Bronze or no trophy at all! In terms of timing, what is considered the "Trophy Run" is when your 8th bet falls after scores have been reset on the 1st of the month. November 24th is day 1 of Trophy Run this month. If you're going to try for the trophy then, make sure to collect after the results of November 23rd but before 1:00 PM NST on the 24th, then collect again after the results on December 1st (2:15 PM NST) and before 10:50 PM NST!
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| Trophy Run Results | ||||
| Month | Bet Ratio | Acct started on or before for Bronze Trophy* | Acct started on or before for Silver Trophy* | Acct started on or before for Gold Trophy* |
| Jun 2013 | 135:80 | April 4, 2006 | November 3, 2002 | Impossible |
| Jul 2013 | 122:80 | Impossible | Impossible | Impossible |
| Aug 2013 | 182:80** | November 12, 2004 | May 26, 2003 | October 21, 2000 |
| Sep 2013 | 154:80 | April 28, 2005 | February 22, 2003 | Impossible |
| Oct 2013 | 126:80 | May 28, 2000 | Impossible | Impossible |
| Nov 2013 | 172:80 | Impossible | Impossible | Impossible |
| Dec 2013 | 122:80 | September 7, 2000 | Impossible | Impossible |
| Jan 2014 | 96:80*** | Impossible | Impossible | Impossible |
| Feb 2014 | 158:80 | October 28, 2003 | October 8, 2001 | Impossible |
| Mar 2014 |
119:80 263:80**** |
September 30, 2002 January 26, 2009**** |
Impossible April 22, 2007**** |
Impossible June 20, 2005**** |
| Apr 2014 |
110:80 166:80***** |
Impossible April 27, 2004***** |
Impossible May 16, 2000***** |
Impossible Impossible |
| May 2014 |
161:80* 122:80 |
November 21, 2000 Impossible |
Impossible Impossible |
Impossible Impossible |
| Jun 2014 | 184:80 | February 19, 2001 | Impossible | Impossible |
| Jul 2014 | N/A (vacation) | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Aug 2014 | 168:80 | Impossible | Impossible | Impossible |
| Sep 2014 | ???:?? | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Oct 2014 | 138:80 | Unknown | Unknown | Unknown |
| Nov 2014 |
58:80 technically |
~Aug 2001* | Unknown | Unknown |

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